Where I live we have self-driving taxi services city-wide. I encounter them on the road frequently when I’m driving and they are my preference if I need a taxi service. Truth is I feel safer around them/inside of them than I do the alternatives. Just the fact that they don’t suffer selective/directional situational awareness, as humans do, gives them some advantages.

Saw this on LinkedIn and I kinda agree with it (I do not have this exact, but you’ll get the spirit of it)

2025 - 10% of engineers are fired for AI
2026 - 50% of engineers replaced with AI
2027 - 100% of engineers are replaced with AI
2028 - Senior engineers are hired back at exorbitant salaries to rewrite all the AI code

I think eventually AI tools (whatever those are) will replace engineers. Coding is just the clever application of Math. But I think we have a long way to go before they replace all of us. However, I don’t see CxO’s seeing things the same way. I think they will buy into the hype, replace us, and suffer for it.

Apropos, can you explain this temperature thing, please?

just replying to say that I think “AI tools” will never be useful because it’s a generic term and it can mean anything, if it can mean anything it means precisely nothing.

If we’re talking about LLMs and tools that generate code I still don’t think they’ll be useful, as I understand code needs to be written intentionally and that’s how we build our mental model about what that code does when running. A thing that uses previously written code to try to predict what would be an “acceptable piece of code” given an input is not intentionally written, and as anyone that past the first deploy in their career, just being able to compile/run doesn’t mean it works.

I think that would be possible tools that explain what a piece of code does(like an auto-documenting tool, idk) but i doubt it would work as a business model, given the amount of resources and the cost to have it running. maybe as a self hosted thing for large enterprises.

My optimistic view of the current thing is that either investors stop overpromises of those AI CEOs and the bubble will burst… my pessimistic view is that usage of such tools will be mandatory and devs will become the new gig worker fixing bugs introduced by AI tools using a platform for bug hunt that will be the uber of devs.

edit: predictions based just on gut feeling and how every job evolved in the past 10 years, i don’t bet money on it(but i don’t bet money on anything )

Yep. I believe we are deep into this phase of the cycle right now.

Predicted it a year ago and already heard 2-3 cases of people being hired back at higher salaries indeed. Hilarity is about to ensue and be witnessed in the next years.